DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1107-2
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84933672918
论文题名: Climate change impacts on freshwater fish, coral reefs, and related ecosystem services in the United States
作者: Lane D. ; Jones R. ; Mills D. ; Wobus C. ; Ready R.C. ; Buddemeier R.W. ; English E. ; Martinich J. ; Shouse K. ; Hosterman H.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 131, 期: 1 起始页码: 143
结束页码: 157
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Economic and social effects
; Economics
; Ecosystems
; Fish
; Fisheries
; Gas emissions
; Greenhouse gases
; Reefs
; Water
; Climate change impact
; Economic benefits
; Economic impacts
; Ecosystem services
; Freshwater fishes
; Recreational fishings
; Societal benefits
; Suitable habitat
; Climate change
; Anthozoa
英文摘要: We analyzed the potential physical and economic impacts of climate change on freshwater fisheries and coral reefs in the United States, examining a reference case and two policy scenarios that limit global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We modeled shifts in suitable habitat for three freshwater fish guilds and changes in coral reef cover for three regions. We estimated resulting economic impacts from projected changes in recreational fishing and changes in recreational use of coral reefs. In general, coldwater fisheries are projected to be replaced by less desirable fisheries over the 21st century, but these impacts are reduced under the GHG mitigation scenarios. Similarly, coral cover is projected to decline over the 21st century primarily due to multiple bleaching events, but the GHG mitigation scenarios delay these declines in Hawaii (but not in South Florida or Puerto Rico). Using a benefit-transfer approach, we estimated that global policies limiting GHG emissions would provide economic benefits in the range of $10–28 billion over the 21st century through maintaining higher values for recreational services for all freshwater fisheries and coral reefs, compared to the reference scenario. These economic values are a subset of the total economic and societal benefits associated with avoiding projected future declines in freshwater fisheries and coral reef cover due to unmitigated climate change. © 2014, The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84571
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Stratus Consulting Inc., 1881 Ninth Street, Suite 201, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States; Kansas Geological Survey, Lawrence, KS, United States; Climate Change Division (6207-J), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, United States
Recommended Citation:
Lane D.,Jones R.,Mills D.,et al. Climate change impacts on freshwater fish, coral reefs, and related ecosystem services in the United States[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,131(1)