DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1245-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84926664163
论文题名: Public perceptions of rainfall change in India
作者: Howe P.D. ; Thaker J. ; Leiserowitz A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 127, 期: 2 起始页码: 211
结束页码: 225
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Precipitation (meteorology)
; Rain
; Storms
; Adaptive behavior
; Adaptive capacity
; Extreme weather events
; Global climate changes
; Mitigation policies
; Proactive adaptations
; Public perception
; Social vulnerability
; Climate change
; adaptation
; climate change
; data set
; drought stress
; instrumentation
; perception
; policy making
; precipitation (climatology)
; precipitation assessment
; rainfall
; India
英文摘要: People’s perceptions of changes in local weather patterns are an important precursor to proactive adaptation to climate change. In this paper, we consider public perceptions of changes in average rainfall in India, analyzing the relationship between perceptions and the instrumental record. Using data from a national sample survey, we find that local instrumental records of precipitation are a strong predictor of perceived declines in rainfall. Perceptions of decreasing rainfall were also associated with perceptions of changes in extreme weather events, such as decreasing frequency of floods and severe storms, increasing frequency of droughts, and decreasing predictability of the monsoon. Higher social vulnerability—including low perceived adaptive capacity and greater food and livelihood dependence on local weather—was also associated with perceptions of decreasing rainfall. While both urban and rural respondents were likely to perceive local changes in precipitation, we show that rural respondents in general were more sensitive to actual changes in precipitation. Individual perceptions of changes in local climate may play an important role in shaping vulnerability to global climate change, adaptive behavior, and support for adaptation and mitigation policies. Awareness of local climate change is therefore particularly important in regions where much of the population is highly exposed and sensitive to the impacts of climate change. © 2014, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84700
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Environment and Society, Quinney College of Natural Resources, Utah State University, 5215 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT, United States; Department of Communication and New Media, National University of Singapore, Blk AS6, #03-41 11 Computing Drive, Singapore, Singapore; School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, United States
Recommended Citation:
Howe P.D.,Thaker J.,Leiserowitz A.. Public perceptions of rainfall change in India[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,127(2)