| DOI: | 10.1007/s10584-013-0919-9
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84899811212
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| 论文题名: | An institutional critique of new climate scenarios |
| 作者: | Lane L.; Montgomery W.D.
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| 刊名: | Climatic Change
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| ISSN: | 0165-0009
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| EISSN: | 1573-1480
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| 出版年: | 2014
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| 卷: | 122, 期:3 | | 起始页码: | 447
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| 结束页码: | 458
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| 语种: | 英语
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| Scopus关键词: | Climate change
; Climate policy
; Climate scenarios
; Future climate
; Internal consistency
; Policy scenario
; Scenario building
; Climate models
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| 英文摘要: | Leading climate analysts are designing a set of new policy scenarios that will be used to frame future climate policy analyses. This new exercise seeks to improve the realism of the scenarios used in climate policy analysis. In recent decades, rational choice institutionalism (RCI) has increasingly influenced several social sciences. A systematic effort to apply findings and concepts borrowed from RCI studies would offer three types of benefits to this scenario exercise. First, it would increase internal consistency within each of the projected scenarios. Second, it would enhance the realism of the entire suite of scenarios. Third, it would illuminate a range of factors, trends, and causal pathways than might otherwise be considered. These gains could be exploited best by engaging some leading RCI scholars in the scenario building process. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84824
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: | Hudson Institute, WA, DC, United States; NERA Economic Consulting, WA, DC, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Lane L.,Montgomery W.D.. An institutional critique of new climate scenarios[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,122(3)
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