DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0961-7
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84898485061
论文题名: The impact of technology availability on the timing and costs of emission reductions for achieving long-term climate targets
作者: van Vliet J. ; Hof A.F. ; Mendoza Beltran A. ; van den Berg M. ; Deetman S. ; den Elzen M.G.J. ; Lucas P.L. ; van Vuuren D.P.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 123, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 559
结束页码: 569
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric radiation
; Carbon capture
; Emission control
; Greenhouse gases
; Optimization
; Carbon capture and storage
; Emission reduction
; Greenhouse gas emission reduction
; Integrated modeling
; Radiative forcings
; Reduction potential
; Scenario studies
; Technology limitations
; Technology
英文摘要: While most long-term mitigation scenario studies build on a broad portfolio of mitigation technologies, there is quite some uncertainty about the availability and reduction potential of these technologies. This study explores the impacts of technology limitations on greenhouse gas emission reductions using the integrated model IMAGE. It shows that the required short-term emission reductions to achieve long-term radiative forcing targets strongly depend on assumptions on the availability and potential of mitigation technologies. Limited availability of mitigation technologies which are relatively important in the long run implies that lower short-term emission levels are required. For instance, limited bio-energy availability reduces the optimal 2020 emission level by more than 4 GtCO2eq in order to compensate the reduced availability of negative emissions from bioenergy and carbon capture and storage (BECCS) in the long run. On the other hand, reduced mitigation potential of options that are used in 2020 can also lead to a higher optimal level for 2020 emissions. The results also show the critical role of BECCS for achieving low radiative forcing targets in IMAGE. Without these technologies achieving these targets become much more expensive or even infeasible. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84836
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, Netherlands; Department of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
van Vliet J.,Hof A.F.,Mendoza Beltran A.,et al. The impact of technology availability on the timing and costs of emission reductions for achieving long-term climate targets[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,123(2018-03-04)