DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0969-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84898544354
论文题名: Transport electrification: A key element for energy system transformation and climate stabilization
作者: McCollum D. ; Krey V. ; Kolp P. ; Nagai Y. ; Riahi K.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 123, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 651
结束页码: 664
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Electric utilities
; Stabilization
; Climate stabilization
; Energy supply technology
; Energy system transformation
; Integrated assessment models
; Low-carbon transports
; Model inter comparisons
; Systematic variation
; Transportation sector
; Climate models
英文摘要: This paper analyzes the role of transport electrification in the broader context of energy system transformation and climate stabilization. As part of the EMF27 model inter-comparison exercise, we employ the MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling framework to conduct a systematic variation of availability, cost, and performance of particular energy supply technologies, thereby deriving implications for feasibility of climate stabilization goals and the associated costs of mitigation. In addition, we explore a wide range of assumptions regarding the potential degree of electrification of the transportation sector. These analyses allow us to (i) test the extent to which the feasible attainment of stringent climate policy targets depends on transport electrification, and (ii) assess the far-reaching impacts that transport electrification could have throughout the rest of the energy system. A detailed analysis of the transition to electricity within the transport sector is not conducted. Our results indicate that while a low-carbon transport system built upon conventional liquid-based fuel delivery infrastructures is destined to become increasingly reliant on biofuels and synthetic liquids, electrification opens up a door through which nuclear energy and non-biomass renewables can flow. The latter has important implications for mitigation costs. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84872
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Recommended Citation:
McCollum D.,Krey V.,Kolp P.,et al. Transport electrification: A key element for energy system transformation and climate stabilization[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,123(2018-03-04)