DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0947-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84898545073
论文题名: Getting from here to there - energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios
作者: Krey V. ; Luderer G. ; Clarke L. ; Kriegler E.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 123, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 369
结束页码: 382
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon capture
; Climate models
; Costs
; Solar energy
; Stabilization
; Atmospheric concentration
; Carbon capture and storage
; Climate stabilization
; Energy system transformation
; Individual technology
; Integrated assessment models
; Technology strategies
; Transformation pathways
; Technology
英文摘要: Based on a large number of energy-economic and integrated assessment models, the Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 27 study systematically explores the implications of technology cost and availability for feasibility and macroeconomic costs of energy system transformations toward climate stabilization. At the highest level, the technology strategy articulated in all the scenarios in EMF27 includes three elements: decarbonization of energy supply, increasing the use of low-carbon energy carriers in end-use, and reduction of energy use. The way that the scenarios differ is in the degree to which these different elements of strategy are implemented, the timing of those implementations, and the associated macroeconomic costs. The study also discusses the value of individual technologies for achieving climate stabilization. A robust finding is that the unavailability of carbon capture and storage and limited availability of bioenergy have the largest impact on feasibility and macroeconomic costs for stabilizing atmospheric concentrations at low levels, mostly because of their combined ability to remove carbon from the atmosphere. Constraining options in the electric sector such as nuclear power, wind and solar energy in contrast has a much smaller impact on the cost of mitigation. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84878
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Research Domain III: Sustainable Solutions, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany; Joint Global Change Research Institute, 5825 University Research Court Suite 3500, College Park, MD, 20740, United States
Recommended Citation:
Krey V.,Luderer G.,Clarke L.,et al. Getting from here to there - energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,123(2018-03-04)