DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1098-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84898542568
论文题名: Nuclear energy response in the EMF27 study
作者: Kim S.H. ; Wada K. ; Kurosawa A. ; Roberts M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 123, 期: 2018-03-04 起始页码: 443
结束页码: 460
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon dioxide
; Climate change
; Electric generators
; Nuclear energy
; Nuclear fuel reprocessing
; Capacity factors
; Climate policy scenarios
; Energy response
; Global climate changes
; Low-carbon technologies
; Nuclear electricity generation
; Nuclear fuel cycles
; Technology choices
; Climate models
英文摘要: The nuclear energy response for mitigating global climate change across 18 participating models of the EMF27 study is investigated. Diverse perspectives on the future role of nuclear power in the global energy system are evident in the broad range of nuclear power contributions from participating models of the study. In the Baseline scenario without climate policy, nuclear electricity generation and shares span 0-66 EJ/year and 0-25 % in 2100 for all models, with a median nuclear electricity generation of 39 EJ/year (1,389 GWe at 90 % capacity factor) and median share of 9 %. The role of nuclear energy increased under the climate policy scenarios. The median of nuclear energy use across all models doubled in the 450 ppm CO2e scenario with a nuclear electricity generation of 67 EJ/year (2,352 GWe at 90 % capacity factor) and share of 17 % in 2100. The broad range of nuclear electricity generation (11-214 EJ/year) and shares (2-38 %) in 2100 of the 450 ppm CO2e scenario reflect differences in the technology choice behavior, technology assumptions and competitiveness of low carbon technologies. Greater clarification of nuclear fuel cycle issues and risk factors associated with nuclear energy use are necessary for understanding the nuclear deployment constraints imposed in models and for improving the assessment of the nuclear energy potential in addressing climate change. © 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84881
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, 20740, United States; Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Kizagawa-Shi, Kyoto, 619-0292, Japan; The Institute of Applied Energy, Minato-ku, Tokyo, 105-0003, Japan; Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305, United States
Recommended Citation:
Kim S.H.,Wada K.,Kurosawa A.,et al. Nuclear energy response in the EMF27 study[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,123(2018-03-04)