globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0924-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84898426767
论文题名:
The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: Results from the EMF27 scenarios
作者: Luderer G.; Krey V.; Calvin K.; Merrick J.; Mima S.; Pietzcker R.; Van Vliet J.; Wada K.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 123, 期:2018-03-04
起始页码: 427
结束页码: 441
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Carbon capture ; Electric power systems ; Solar energy ; Wind power ; Carbon capture and storage ; Climate change mitigation ; Climate stabilization ; Global electricity demands ; Renewable energy deployments ; Renewable power production ; Systems integration ; Wind and solar power ; Biomass
英文摘要: This paper uses the EMF27 scenarios to explore the role of renewable energy (RE) in climate change mitigation. Currently RE supplies almost 20 % of global electricity demand. Almost all EMF27 mitigation scenarios show a strong increase in renewable power production, with a substantial ramp-up of wind and solar power deployment. In many scenarios, renewables are the most important long-term mitigation option for power supply. Wind energy is competitive even without climate policy, whereas the prospects of solar photovoltaics (PV) are highly contingent on the ambitiousness of climate policy. Bioenergy is an important and versatile energy carrier; however-with the exception of low temperature heat-there is less scope for renewables other than biomass for non-electric energy supply. Despite the important role of wind and solar power in climate change mitigation scenarios with full technology availability, limiting their deployment has a relatively small effect on mitigation costs, if nuclear and carbon capture and storage (CCS)-which can serve as substitutes in low-carbon power supply-are available. Limited bioenergy availability in combination with limited wind and solar power by contrast, results in a more substantial increase in mitigation costs. While a number of robust insights emerge, the results on renewable energy deployment levels vary considerably across the models. An in-depth analysis of a subset of EMF27 reveals substantial differences in modeling approaches and parameter assumptions. To a certain degree, differences in model results can be attributed to different assumptions about technology costs, resource potentials and systems integration. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84892
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States; Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, United States; PACTE-EDDEN, CNRS, University Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, Netherlands; Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Kyoto, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Luderer G.,Krey V.,Calvin K.,et al. The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: Results from the EMF27 scenarios[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,123(2018-03-04)
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