globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1220-2
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84919877741
论文题名:
Spring thermal resources for grapevine in Kőszeg (Hungary) deduced from a very long pictorial time series (1740–2009)
作者: Parisi S.G.; Antoniazzi M.M.; Cola G.; Lovat L.; Mariani L.; Morreale G.; Zoltan K.; Calò A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 126, 期:2018-03-04
起始页码: 443
结束页码: 454
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Air temperature ; Constant factors ; High availability ; Long time series ; Non-linear response ; Pictorial representation ; Thermal condition ; Visual inspection ; Time series
英文摘要: Since 1740 until now, the Book of Vine Branches encompasses beautiful pictorial representations of shoots and sprouts, collected every year on April 24th in the vineyards of the Hungarian town of Kőszeg. A long time series (1740–2009) of sprouts phenological development coded with the BBCH scale is obtained through paintings visual inspection. Consequently, a model relating sprouts development with thermal resources accumulation is developed on the base of Wien daily air temperature series for the 1857–2009 period. Thermal resources is obtained with the Normal Heat Hours approach, a response curve method that takes into account the nonlinear response of phenological development to temperature. The model, calibrated and validated on the 1930–2009 period, shows an overestimation of thermal resources when applied to the 1857–1929, due to the more advanced phenology of that phase. Since this advance can be ascribed to genetics and management instead of more favorable thermal conditions, model outputs previous to 1930 are decreased by a constant factor. Finally, the 1740–2009 time series of grapevine spring thermal resources is obtained applying the model to the complete phenological time series. The analysis of the series highlights a first phase (1740–1780) characterized by high and stable availability of thermal resources during the 1740–1780, a second phase (1781–1820) with the lowest level of resources, a phase of intermediate availability (1821–1929) and a final present phase (1930–2009) with renewed high availability. The adopted method overcomes the lack of correlation for the post 1960 period shown by previous works. © 2014, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84899
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Dipartimento di Scienze Agrarie e Ambientali - Produzione, Territorio, Agroenergia, Università degli Studi di Milano (DiSAA – UNIMI), Via Celoria 2, Milan, Italy; Centro di ricerca per la viticoltura (CRA – VIT), Viale XXVIII Aprile, 26, Conegliano, Italy; Accademia Italiana della Vite e del Vino, c/o CRA -VIT, Via XXVIII Aprile 26, Conegliano, Italy; Kőszeg, Hungary

Recommended Citation:
Parisi S.G.,Antoniazzi M.M.,Cola G.,et al. Spring thermal resources for grapevine in Kőszeg (Hungary) deduced from a very long pictorial time series (1740–2009)[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,126(2018-03-04)
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