DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0907-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84899830969
论文题名: Challenges to adaptation: A fundamental concept for the shared socio-economic pathways and beyond
作者: Rothman D.S. ; Romero-Lankao P. ; Schweizer V.J. ; Bee B.A.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 122, 期: 3 起始页码: 495
结束页码: 507
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Climate models
; Biophysical factors
; Climate research
; Extended versions
; Fundamental concepts
; Integrated assessment models
; Policy community
; Shared understanding
; Socio-economics
; Research
英文摘要: The framework for the new scenarios being developed for climate research calls for the development of a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), which are meant to differ in terms of their challenges to mitigation and challenges to adaptation. In order for the scenario process to fulfill its goals, the research and policy communities need to develop a shared understanding of these concepts. This paper focuses on challenges to adaptation. We begin by situating this new concept in the context of the rich literatures related to inter alia adaptation, vulnerability, and resilience. We argue that a proper characterization of challenges to adaptation requires a rich, exploration of the concept, which goes beyond mere description. This has a number of implications for the operationalization of the concept in the basic and extended versions of the SSPs. First, the elements comprising challenges to adaptation must include a wide range of socioeconomic and even some (non-climatic) biophysical factors. Second, careful consideration must be given to differences in these factors across scales, as well as cross-scale interactions. Third, any representation of the concept will require both quantitative and qualitative elements. The scenario framework offers the opportunity for the SSPs and full scenarios to be of greater value than has been the case in past exercises to both Integrated Assessment Modeling (IAM) and Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (IAV) researchers, but this will require a renegotiation of the traditional, primarily unidirectional relationship between the two communities. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84922
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, 2201 South Gaylord Street, Denver, CO 80208-0500, United States; Urban Futures, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), PO Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, United States; Integrated Science Program, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), PO Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, United States; Department of Geography, Planning and Environment, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 27858, United States
Recommended Citation:
Rothman D.S.,Romero-Lankao P.,Schweizer V.J.,et al. Challenges to adaptation: A fundamental concept for the shared socio-economic pathways and beyond[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,122(3)