globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84897083964
论文题名:
A new scenario framework for climate change research: Background, process, and future directions
作者: Ebi K.L.; Hallegatte S.; Kram T.; Arnell N.W.; Carter T.R.; Edmonds J.; Kriegler E.; Mathur R.; O'Neill B.C.; Riahi K.; Winkler H.; van Vuuren D.P.; Zwickel T.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 122, 期:3
起始页码: 363
结束页码: 372
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Research ; Risk assessment ; Risk perception ; Adaptation policies ; Conceptual frameworks ; Costs and benefits ; Environmental development ; Framework designs ; Interdisciplinary research ; Mitigation policies ; Scientific community ; Climate change
英文摘要: The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O'Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication inthis special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84953
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: ClimAdapt, LLC, 424 Tyndall Street, Los Altos, CA, United States; The World Bank, WA, DC, United States; Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), Bilthoven, Netherlands; Walker Institute for Climate System Research, Reading, United Kingdom; Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Climate Change Programme, Helsinki, Finland; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Baltimore, United States; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; TERI, New Delhi, India; National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, United States; International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Ebi K.L.,Hallegatte S.,Kram T.,et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: Background, process, and future directions[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,122(3)
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