globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84897102713
论文题名:
A new scenario framework for climate change research: The concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
作者: O'Neill B.C.; Kriegler E.; Riahi K.; Ebi K.L.; Hallegatte S.; Carter T.R.; Mathur R.; van Vuuren D.P.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 122, 期:3
起始页码: 387
结束页码: 400
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric radiation ; Economic and social effects ; Research ; Climate change impact ; Climate policy ; Conceptual frameworks ; Environmental development ; Initial development ; Radiative forcings ; Socio-economic development ; Special report on emissions scenarios ; Climate change
英文摘要: The new scenario framework for climate change research envisions combining pathways of future radiative forcing and their associated climate changes with alternative pathways of socioeconomic development in order to carry out research on climate change impacts, adaptation, and mitigation. Here we propose a conceptual framework for how to define and develop a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for use within the scenario framework. We define SSPs as reference pathways describing plausible alternative trends in the evolution of society and ecosystems over a century timescale, in the absence of climate change or climate policies. We introduce the concept of a space of challenges to adaptation and to mitigation that should be spanned by the SSPs, and discuss how particular trends in social, economic, and environmental development could be combined to produce such outcomes. A comparison to the narratives from the scenarios developed in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) illustrates how a starting point for developing SSPs can be defined. We suggest initial development of a set of basic SSPs that could then be extended to meet more specific purposes, and envision a process of application of basic and extended SSPs that would be iterative and potentially lead to modification of the original SSPs themselves. © The Author(s) 2013.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84954
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), PO Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80305, United States; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; ClimAdapt, LLC, Los Altos, CA, United States; The World Bank, WA, DC, United States; Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Box 140, 00251 Helsinki, Finland; TERI, New Delhi, India; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, Netherlands; Department of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
O'Neill B.C.,Kriegler E.,Riahi K.,et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: The concept of shared socioeconomic pathways[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,122(3)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[O'Neill B.C.]'s Articles
[Kriegler E.]'s Articles
[Riahi K.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[O'Neill B.C.]'s Articles
[Kriegler E.]'s Articles
[Riahi K.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[O'Neill B.C.]‘s Articles
[Kriegler E.]‘s Articles
[Riahi K.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.