DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.08.051
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85028470638
论文题名: Estimating oil pollution risk in environmentally sensitive areas of petrochemical terminals based on a stochastic numerical simulation
作者: Xie C. ; Deng J. ; Zhuang Y. ; Sun H.
刊名: Marine Pollution Bulletin
ISSN: 0025-326X
EISSN: 1879-3363
出版年: 2017
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Oil spill accident
; Pollution risk assessment
; Sensitive resources
; Stochastic numerical simulation
Scopus关键词: Accidents
; Numerical models
; Oil spills
; Pollution
; Risk perception
; Risks
; Stochastic systems
; Assessment accuracy
; Current modeling
; Environmentally sensitive areas
; Oil-spill model
; Priority order
; Response strategies
; Sensitive index
; Sensitive resources
; Risk assessment
; accident
; computer simulation
; contamination
; oil spill
; probability
; risk assessment
; stochastic model
; theoretical model
Scopus学科分类: Agricultural and Biological Sciences: Aquatic Science
; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Oceanography
; Environmental Science: Pollution
英文摘要: This paper presents a method based on the oceanic current model and the oil spill model to evaluate the pollution risk of sensitive resources when oil spills occur. Moreover, this study proposes a novel impact index based on the risk theory to improve the risk assessment accuracy. The impact probability and the first impact time of the oil spill are calculated through a stochastic numerical simulation. The risk assessment content is enriched by establishing an impact model that considers the impact of sensitive index and spillage. Finally, the risk score of sensitive resources in an oil spill accident is visualized for formulating a scientific and effective protection priority order in a contamination response strategy. This study focuses on integrating every possible impact factor that plays a role in risk assessment and helps to provide a better theoretical support for protecting sensitive resources. © 2017. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/88031
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建 全球变化的国际研究计划
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作者单位: Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China; National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety, Wuhan, China
Recommended Citation:
Xie C.,Deng J.,Zhuang Y.,et al. Estimating oil pollution risk in environmentally sensitive areas of petrochemical terminals based on a stochastic numerical simulation[J]. Marine Pollution Bulletin,2017-01-01