globalchange  > 科学计划与规划
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL064751
论文题名:
Effects of volcanism on tropical variability
作者: Maher N.; McGregor S.; England M.H.; Gupta A.S.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9362
EISSN: 1944-9093
出版年: 2015
卷: 42, 期:14
起始页码: 6024
结束页码: 6033
语种: 英语
英文关键词: CMIP5 ; ENSO ; IOD ; Pacific-Indian variability ; surface air temperature ; volcanic climate forcing
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure ; Atmospheric radiation ; Atmospheric temperature ; Climatology ; Tropics ; Volcanoes ; Climate forcings ; CMIP5 ; ENSO ; IOD ; Pacific-Indian variability ; Surface air temperatures ; Nickel ; air temperature ; El Nino ; La Nina ; Southern Hemisphere ; stratosphere ; surface temperature ; volcanic aerosol ; volcanic eruption ; volcanism ; Pacific Ocean
英文摘要: The effects of large tropical volcanic eruptions on Indo-Pacific tropical variability are investigated using 122 historical ensemble members from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5. Radiative forcing due to volcanic aerosols in the stratosphere is found to increase the likelihood of a model climatic response that projects onto both the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Large eruptions are associated with co-occurring El Niño and positive IOD events in the ensemble means that peak 6-12 months after the volcanic forcing peaks, marking a significant increase in the likelihood of each event occurring in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) spring/summer posteruption. There is also an ensemble mean La Niña-like response in the third SH summer posteruption, which coincides with a significant increase in the likelihood of a La Niña occurring. Taken together with the initial cooling, this La Niña-like response may increase the persistence of the cool global average surface temperature anomaly after an eruption. © 2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84939000990&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL064751&partnerID=40&md5=96c430dc123b0bd2dc0a58822ff5b24e
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/8977
Appears in Collections:科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Maher N.,McGregor S.,England M.H.,et al. Effects of volcanism on tropical variability[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2015-01-01,42(14).
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