| DOI: | 10.1002/2015GL064929
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| 论文题名: | More tropical cyclones in a cooler climate? |
| 作者: | Sugi M.; Yoshida K.; Murakami H.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-9615
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| EISSN: | 1944-9346
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| 出版年: | 2015
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| 卷: | 42, 期:16 | | 起始页码: | 6780
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| 结束页码: | 6784
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | climate change
; cooler climate
; tropical cyclone
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| Scopus关键词: | Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Cooling systems
; Hurricanes
; Oceanography
; Storms
; Surface waters
; Tropics
; Cooler climate
; Frequency reduction
; Global climate model
; High resolution
; Interesting points
; Saturation deficit
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Tropical cyclone
; Climate models
; climate change
; climate modeling
; cooling
; global change
; sea surface temperature
; tropical cyclone
; warming
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| 英文摘要: | Recent review papers reported that many high-resolution global climate models consistently projected a reduction of global tropical cyclone (TC) frequency in a future warmer climate, although the mechanism of the reduction is not yet fully understood. Here we present a result of 4K-cooler climate experiment. The global TC frequency significantly increases in the 4K-cooler climate compared to the present climate. This is consistent with a significant decrease in TC frequency in the 4K-warmer climate. For the mechanism of TC frequency reduction in a warmer climate, upward mass flux hypothesis and saturation deficit hypothesis have been proposed. The result of the 4K-cooler climate experiment is consistent with these two hypotheses. One very interesting point is that the experiment has clearly shown that TC genesis is possible at sea surface temperature (SST) well below 26°C which has been considered as the lowest SST limit for TC genesis. © 2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84941739532&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL064929&partnerID=40&md5=e28e6cd03fec21176f626df23e72f4e3
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/9230
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Sugi M.,Yoshida K.,Murakami H.. More tropical cyclones in a cooler climate?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2015-01-01,42(16).
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