globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
项目编号: 1501159
项目名称:
DISSERTATION RESEARCH: A hypothesis test for cryptic northern refugia in bitternut and shagbark hickory, with implications for migration and adaptation
作者: Christopher Dick
承担单位: University of Michigan Ann Arbor
批准年: 2014
开始日期: 2015-06-01
结束日期: 2017-05-31
资助金额: USD18250
资助来源: US-NSF
项目类别: Standard Grant
国家: US
语种: 英语
特色学科分类: Biological Sciences - Environmental Biology
英文关键词: pattern ; cryptic northern refugia ; research ; southern refugia ; climate change ; implication ; computer simulation ; genetic variation ; relevance ; glacial refugia ; geographic distribution ; temperate forest ; large portion ; local adaptation ; additional existence ; southern appalachians ; north america ; future research ; ice age ; southern united states ; potential impact ; paleogeographical reconstruction ; eastern north american hickory species ; michigan program ; statistical support ; conservation biology ; eastern united states ; historical migration rate ; last glacial maximum ; hickory species ; local high school student ; historical scenario ; rangewide snp dataset ; exploratory analysis ; temperate species ; conservation biologist ; national welfare ; coastal plain ; cryptic refugia ; genetic analysis ; large genetic dataset ; classic phylogeographic paradigm ; spatially-explicit demographic model ; approximate bayesian computation ; tree population ; understanding past response
英文摘要: During the height of the ice age, glaciers covered large portions of North America. Temperate forests persisted in areas known as glacial refugia, such as the coastal plains of the southern United States. Some species may also have existed much farther north than previously thought possible, but evidence for these cryptic northern refugia is controversial. The proposed research will test whether two hickory species survived glaciation in cryptic refugia, possibly located in the southern Appalachians or Ozarks. Genetic variation will be assessed in populations of the two species from across the eastern United States, and patterns of variation will be statistically compared to patterns generated under computer simulations according to a variety of historical scenarios. For the first time, this will provide a measure of confidence in how likely it is that cryptic northern refugia existed. This aspect of forest history is important for understanding how tree populations have migrated and adapted to climate change in the past. The patterns of genetic variation detected will have implications for forestry and conservation biology, and as a resource for future research. The research itself promotes the progress of science by combining genetic analysis and paleogeographical reconstruction, and it has implications for national welfare, given the potential impacts a changing climate; the project also supports education and diversity.

The survival of temperate species in southern refugia during the Last Glacial Maximum (21.5 Ka) is a classic phylogeographic paradigm, yet this paradigm has been challenged by new but inconclusive evidence suggesting the additional existence of cryptic northern refugia. Using two eastern North American hickory species, the research will analyze a large genetic dataset of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) using computer simulations and Approximate Bayesian Computation to test whether spatially-explicit demographic models containing both cryptic northern refugia and southern refugia better explain the data than models containing only traditional southern refugia. The rangewide SNP dataset will also allow exploratory analysis of patterns of local adaptation. This project will be the first to assess statistical support for cryptic northern refugia in any species, and will establish a genomic resource for future studies. Results will aid in better understanding past responses to climate change, including historical migration rates, patterns of adaptation, and geographic distributions of genetic diversity. The relevance to applied biology will be highlighted in a brochure distributed to a wide network of foresters and conservation biologists established through fieldwork. An existing University of Michigan program will also serve as a platform for discussing the project and its relevance to climate change with local high school students.
资源类型: 项目
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/94467
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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Recommended Citation:
Christopher Dick. DISSERTATION RESEARCH: A hypothesis test for cryptic northern refugia in bitternut and shagbark hickory, with implications for migration and adaptation. 2014-01-01.
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