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DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070042
论文题名:
A preliminary statistical model for hydraulic fracture-induced seismicity in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin
作者: Ghofrani H.; Atkinson G.M.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-8561
EISSN: 1944-8292
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期:19
起始页码: 10164
结束页码: 10172
语种: 英语
英文关键词: hydraulic fracture-induced seismicity ; seismic hazard due to induced earthquake ; spatiotemporal correlation of induced seismicity
Scopus关键词: Earthquakes ; Fracture ; Hydraulic fracturing ; Intelligent systems ; Monte Carlo methods ; Seismology ; Confidence limit ; Disposal wells ; Grid cells ; Seismic hazards ; Spatiotemporal correlation ; Statistical modeling ; Statistical relationship ; Western canada sedimentary basins ; Induced Seismicity
英文摘要: We characterize the statistical relationship between hydraulic fracturing and seismicity in western Canada by using the concept of cellular seismicity. We determine the regionally averaged probability that hydraulic fracture operations will be associated with M ≥ 3 seismicity within a 10 km grid cell. This rate is 0.01 to 0.026 at the 95th percentile confidence limit. Monte Carlo simulations confirm that the observed correlations are extremely unlikely (≪1%) to have been obtained by chance. Proximity to a disposal well and proximity to the Swan Hills Formation, which has been suggested as a proxy for basement controlled faults, appear to increase the likelihood that hydraulic fracturing will trigger seismicity. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84990895390&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL070042&partnerID=40&md5=1f5a9343531cd8495d4c30e63742d3fa
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/9524
Appears in Collections:科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Department of Earth Sciences, Western University, London, ON, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Ghofrani H.,Atkinson G.M.. A preliminary statistical model for hydraulic fracture-induced seismicity in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(19).
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