DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069401
论文题名: Pacific sea level rise patterns and global surface temperature variability
作者: Peyser C.E. ; Yin J. ; Landerer F.W. ; Cole J.E.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-8733
EISSN: 1944-8464
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 16 起始页码: 8662
结束页码: 8669
语种: 英语
英文关键词: global temperature
; Pacific
; sea level rise
; warming hiatus
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Climate models
; Surface properties
; Global mean surface temperature
; Global surface temperature
; Global surface warming
; Global temperatures
; Pacific
; Sea level rise
; Tropical Western Pacific
; Warming hiatus
; Sea level
英文摘要: During 1998–2012, climate change and sea level rise (SLR) exhibit two notable features: a slowdown of global surface warming (hiatus) and a rapid SLR in the tropical western Pacific. To quantify their relationship, we analyze the long-term control simulations of 38 climate models. We find a significant and robust correlation between the east-west contrast of dynamic sea level (DSL) in the Pacific and global mean surface temperature (GST) variability on both interannual and decadal time scales. Based on linear regression of the multimodel ensemble mean, the anomalously fast SLR in the western tropical Pacific observed during 1998–2012 indicates suppression of a potential global surface warming of 0.16° ± 0.06°C. In contrast, the Pacific contributed 0.29° ± 0.10°C to the significant interannual GST increase in 1997/1998. The Pacific DSL anomalies observed in 2015 suggest that the strong El Niño in 2015/2016 could lead to a 0.21° ± 0.07°C GST jump. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84982296299&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL069401&partnerID=40&md5=f7a437effa6cc371cc89244907d27b87
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/9696
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Recommended Citation:
Peyser C.E.,Yin J.,Landerer F.W.,et al. Pacific sea level rise patterns and global surface temperature variability[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(16).