DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068012
论文题名: Solar forcing over the last 1500 years and Australian tropical cyclone activity
作者: Haig J.E.-A. ; Nott J.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9206
EISSN: 1944-8937
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 6 起始页码: 2843
结束页码: 2850
语种: 英语
英文关键词: solar forcing
; tropical cyclones
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure
; Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Hurricanes
; Oceanography
; Surface waters
; Tropics
; Australian tropical cyclone activities
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Solar forcing
; Southern oscillation index
; Temporal resolution
; Tropical cyclone
; Tropical cyclone activity
; Tropical cyclone records
; Storms
; climate prediction
; climatology
; paleoclimate
; radiative forcing
; seasonality
; solar radiation
; temporal variation
; tropical cyclone
; Australia
英文摘要: Accurate seasonal and decadal predictions of tropical cyclone activity are essential for the development of mitigation strategies for the 2.7 billion residents living within cyclone prone regions. The traditional indices (Southern Oscillation Index and various sea surface temperature indices) have fallen short in recent years as seasonal predictors within the Australian region. The short length of these records (i.e., <50 years) has meant that our current knowledge of larger-scale drivers at interdecadal, centennial, and millennial scales is limited. The development of a new tropical cyclone activity index spanning the last 1500 years has enabled the examination of tropical cyclone climatology at higher temporal resolution than was previously possible. Here we show that in addition to other well-known climate indices, solar forcing largely drives decadal, interdecadal, and centennial cycles within the tropical cyclone record. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84963615092&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL068012&partnerID=40&md5=28f15e2fa892cc2de7d674765d182695
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10169
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science, School of Earth and Environmental Science, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Haig J.E.-A.,Nott J.. Solar forcing over the last 1500 years and Australian tropical cyclone activity[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(6).