DOI: 10.3354/cr01285
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84928340772
论文题名: Heat wave characteristics in the eastern Mediterranean and Middle East using extreme value theory
作者: Tanarhte M. ; Hadjinicolaou P. ; Lelieveld J.
刊名: Climate Research
ISSN: 0936577X
出版年: 2015
卷: 63, 期: 2 起始页码: 99
结束页码: 113
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Extreme value
; Heat wave
; Mediterranean
; Middle east
Scopus关键词: climate change
; heat flux
; Mediterranean environment
; socioeconomic impact
; spatiotemporal analysis
; statistical analysis
; temperature profile
; Arabian Sea
; Indian Ocean
; Persian Gulf
英文摘要: Heat waves in the eastern Mediterranean and Middle East can have large socioeconomic impacts. We apply a newly developed statistical framework, based on the extreme value theory, to study the characteristics of heat waves in the region during the period 1973-2010 using data from 15 measurement stations across the region. The analysis shows increasing trends in the highest daytime temperatures in the Persian Gulf region in summer. Increasing trends in the number of heat waves are found at all stations, whereas the maximum temperature during heat waves is found unchanged, implying no change in their intensity. Furthermore, no significant trends in the heat wave duration are observed. Return levels are calculated for the individual hot days and found to be very high in the Persian Gulf region. © Inter-Research 2015.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116499
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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Recommended Citation:
Tanarhte M.,Hadjinicolaou P.,Lelieveld J.. Heat wave characteristics in the eastern Mediterranean and Middle East using extreme value theory[J]. Climate Research,2015-01-01,63(2)