globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2406-8
WOS记录号: WOS:000459226500050
论文题名:
Impact of bias correction and downscaling through quantile mapping on simulated climate change signal: a case study over Central Italy
作者: Sangelantoni, Lorenzo1,2; Russo, Aniello2,3; Gennaretti, Fabio4
通讯作者: Sangelantoni, Lorenzo
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 135, 期:1-2, 页码:725-740
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: TEMPERATURE EXTREMES ; PRECIPITATION ; PROJECTIONS ; SCENARIO
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Quantile mapping (QM) represents a common post-processing technique used to connect climate simulations to impact studies at different spatial scales. Depending on the simulation-observation spatial scale mismatch, QM can be used for two different applications. The first application uses only the bias correction component, establishing transfer functions between observations and simulations at similar spatial scales. The second application includes a statistical downscaling component when point-scale observations are considered. However, knowledge of alterations to climate change signal (CCS) resulting from these two applications is limited. This study investigates QM impacts on the original temperature and precipitation CCSs when applied according to a bias correction only (BC-only) and a bias correction plus downscaling (BC + DS) application over reference stations in Central Italy. BC-only application is used to adjust regional climate model (RCM) simulations having the same resolution as the observation grid. QM BC + DS application adjusts the same simulations to point-wise observations. QM applications alter CCS mainly for temperature. BC-only application produces a CCS of the median similar to 1 degrees C lower than the original (similar to 4.5 degrees C). BC + DS application produces CCS closer to the original, except over the summer 95th percentile, where substantial amplification of the original CCS resulted. The impacts of the two applications are connected to the ratio between the observed and the simulated standard deviation (STD) of the calibration period. For the precipitation, original CCS is essentially preserved in both applications. Yet, calibration period STD ratio cannot predict QM impact on the precipitation CCS when simulated STD and mean are similarly misrepresented.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125104
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Aquila, Dept Phys & Chem Sci, CETEMPS, I-67100 Laquila, Italy
2.Univ Politecn Marche, Dept Life & Environm Sci, Via Brecce Bianche, I-60131 Ancona, Italy
3.NATO STO Ctr Maritime Res & Experimentat, La Spezia, Italy
4.Univ Lorraine, AgroParisTech, INRA, UMR 1434 Silva, F-54000 Nancy, France

Recommended Citation:
Sangelantoni, Lorenzo,Russo, Aniello,Gennaretti, Fabio. Impact of bias correction and downscaling through quantile mapping on simulated climate change signal: a case study over Central Italy[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,135(1-2):725-740
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