globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2640-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000475737500084
论文题名:
Lake Sibayi variations in response to climate variability in northern KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
作者: Nsubuga, Francis N. Wasswa1,2; Mearns, Kevin F.2; Adeola, Abiodun M.3,4
通讯作者: Nsubuga, Francis N. Wasswa
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 137, 期:1-2, 页码:1233-1245
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS ; WATER INDEX ; TRENDS ; TEMPERATURE ; HOMOGENEITY ; IDENTIFICATION ; CATCHMENT ; DROUGHTS ; BASIN
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The optimal management of natural resources like lakes requires understanding the relationship with other environmental elements. Remote sensing techniques using multi-temporal and multi-sensor images for change detection purposes are important in this regard. This study used a combination of approaches to detect changes in the lake surface area of Lake Sibayi in relation to changes in past climates. Delineation of the study area is achieved using WR2012 endoreic maps and Landsat satellite images from 1992 to 2016. Using data from eight meteorological stations, past climate of the lake catchment was investigated. Thereafter, a multivariate correlation analysis is conducted to examine the relationship between the changes in the lake surface area and the changes in climatic (precipitation, temperature) variables and water levels. Results suggest that the lake surface area has decreased by 20% since 1992. There are significant changes in temperatures, while the annual rainfall totals declined significantly. The correlation between precipitation in the catchment and annual water level changes is 0.88. Statistically, significant increases in the water level and precipitation were experienced in 1993 and 2001. SPI analysis reveals that the study area is getting drier and the probability of recurrence of moderate dryness is 10%. The rate at which the lake is shrinking is not solely climatic related, as anthropogenic aspects are also responsible. To prevent further shrinkage of Lake Sibayi, it will be necessary to develop aggressive restoration policies and action plans aimed at maintaining inflows in the face of compounding climate change and water demand. Recommendations of the nature of further studies that can increase our understanding are included.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125222
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Pretoria, Dept Geog Geoinformant & Meteorol, Hatfield Campus,Private Bag X20, ZA-0002 Pretoria, South Africa
2.Univ South Africa, Dept Environm Sci, Coll Agr & Environm Sci, Florida Campus,Private Bag X6, ZA-1700 Florida, South Africa
3.South African Weather Serv, Private Bag X097, ZA-0001 Pretoria, South Africa
4.Univ Pretoria, Sch Hlth Syst & Publ Hlth, Fac Hlth Sci, Pretoria, South Africa

Recommended Citation:
Nsubuga, Francis N. Wasswa,Mearns, Kevin F.,Adeola, Abiodun M.. Lake Sibayi variations in response to climate variability in northern KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,137(1-2):1233-1245
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