globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s41742-018-0151-6
WOS记录号: WOS:000455920500007
论文题名:
How Climate Change Affects Land Use Pattern: An Iranian Provincial Experience
作者: Sayyadi, Fatemeh1; Moghaddasi, Reza1; Yazdani, Saeed2
通讯作者: Moghaddasi, Reza
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ISSN: 1735-6865
EISSN: 2008-2304
出版年: 2019
卷: 13, 期:1, 页码:67-75
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Land use ; Spatial econometrics ; Iran
WOS关键词: WATER AVAILABILITY ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Climate change is exacerbating the challenges faced by the agriculture sector especially in arid and semi-arid regions. Climate change-induced increases in temperature, rainfall variation (both spatial and time) and the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are adding to pressure on the global agriculture systemwhich is already struggling to respond to the rising demands of the growing population for food. This paper specifies a spatial econometric model to determine the major drivers of land use change, with emphasis on climate variables, in three bordering provinces of Iran during 2004-2016. Results indicate that changes in the usage of land and adaptation to climate change occur through time, but these changes have a major locative dependence on the nearby areas. In most of the regions under study, the increase in temperature exerts negative impacts on the proportion of lands devoted to grass and agriculture. Cropland value and farmer income have indirect and direct impact on the share of agricultural lands, respectively. Land slope is also indirectly related to urban and agricultural land allocation. Provision of more supports to farmers through direct payment and price support policies aiming at preserving of agricultural lands is recommended. Article HighlightsA spatial multinomial logit model is used to identify drivers of land use change (with emphasis on climate variables) in Iran.Changes in usage of land and adaptation to climate change occur through time and these changes have a major locative dependency on the nearby areas.Designing supportive policies to mitigate adverse effects of climate change on agriculture is recommended.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128398
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Islamic Azad Univ, Sci & Res Branch, Agr Econ Dept, Coll Agr & Food Sci, Tehran, Iran
2.Univ Tehran, Agr Econ Dept, Karaj, Iran

Recommended Citation:
Sayyadi, Fatemeh,Moghaddasi, Reza,Yazdani, Saeed. How Climate Change Affects Land Use Pattern: An Iranian Provincial Experience[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH,2019-01-01,13(1):67-75
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