globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.13379
WOS记录号: WOS:000460470500008
论文题名:
Drivers of interannual and intra-annual variability of dissolved organic carbon concentration in the River Thames between 1884 and 2013
作者: Noacco, Valentina1,3; Duffy, Christopher J.2; Wagener, Thorsten1,3; Worrall, Fred4; Fasiolo, Matteo5; Howden, Nicholas J. K.1,3
通讯作者: Noacco, Valentina
刊名: HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
ISSN: 0885-6087
EISSN: 1099-1085
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:6, 页码:994-1012
语种: 英语
英文关键词: dissolved organic carbon (DOC) ; interannual variability ; singular spectrum analysis (SSA) ; generalised additive model (GAM) ; Thames Basin ; hydroclimate ; sewage effluents ; land-use change
WOS关键词: SINGULAR-SPECTRUM ANALYSIS ; LONG-TERM TRENDS ; TIME-SERIES ; LAND-USE ; DOC CONCENTRATION ; DRINKING-WATER ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NORTH-AMERICA ; EXPORT ; TEMPERATURE
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

The world's longest record of river water quality (River Thames-130 years) provides a unique opportunity to understand fluvial dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations dynamics. Understanding riverine DOC variability through long-term studies is crucial to capture patterns and drivers influencing sources of DOC at scales relevant for decision making. The Thames basin (United Kingdom) has undergone massive land-use change, as well as increased urbanisation and population during the period considered. We aimed to investigate the drivers of intra-annual to interannual DOC variability, assess the variability due to natural and anthropogenic factors, and understand the causes for the increased DOC variability over the period. Two approaches were used to achieve these aims. The first method was singular spectrum analysis, which was used to reconstruct the major oscillatory modes of DOC, hydroclimatic variables, and atmospheric circulation patterns and to visualise the interaction between these variables. The second approach used was generalised additive modelling, which was used to investigate other non-natural drivers of DOC variability. Our study shows that DOC variability increased by 80% over the data period, with the greatest increase occurring from the beginning of World War II onwards. The primary driver of the increase in DOC variability was the increase in the average value of fluvial DOC over the period of record, which was itself linked to the increase in basin population and diffuse DOC sources to the river due to land-use and land-management changes. Seasonal DOC variability was linked to streamflow and temperature. Our study allows to identify drivers of fluvial intra-annual and interannual DOC variability and therefore empowers actions to reduce high DOC concentrations.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132070
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Bristol, Dept Civil Engn, Bristol BS8 1TR, Avon, England
2.Penn State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, State Coll, PA USA
3.Univ Bristol, Cabot Inst, Bristol, Avon, England
4.Univ Durham, Dept Earth Sci, Durham, England
5.Univ Bristol, Sch Math, Bristol, Avon, England

Recommended Citation:
Noacco, Valentina,Duffy, Christopher J.,Wagener, Thorsten,et al. Drivers of interannual and intra-annual variability of dissolved organic carbon concentration in the River Thames between 1884 and 2013[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2019-01-01,33(6):994-1012
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