globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab1c31
WOS记录号: WOS:000468328300001
论文题名:
An update on the thermosteric sea level rise commitment to global warming
作者: Hieronymus, Magnus
通讯作者: Hieronymus, Magnus
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文关键词: sea level rise ; climate change ; thermosteric
WOS关键词: OCEAN CIRCULATION ; TRANSIENT ; IMPACT
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The equilibrium thermosteric sea level rise caused by global warming is evaluated in several coupled climate models. The thermosteric sea level rise is found to be well approximated as a linear function of the mean ocean temperature increase in the models. However, the mean ocean temperature increase as a function of the mean surface temperature increase differs between the models. Our models can be divided into two branches; models with an Atlantic meridional overturning circulation that increases with warming have large mean ocean temperature increases and vice versa. These two different branches give estimates of the equilibrium thermosteric sea level rise per degree of surface warming that are respectively 98% and 21% larger than the estimate given in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. Our estimates of the equilibrium thermosteric sea level rise are also used to infer an equilibrium sea level sensitivity, a parameter akin to the often used equilibrium climate sensitivity metric.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136917
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: SMHI, Folkborgsvagen 16, Norrkoping, Sweden

Recommended Citation:
Hieronymus, Magnus. An update on the thermosteric sea level rise commitment to global warming[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,14(5)
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