globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.3390/w11081734
WOS记录号: WOS:000484561500207
论文题名:
Examination of Changes in Flood Data in Australia
作者: Ishak, Elias1; Rahman, Ataur2
通讯作者: Rahman, Ataur
刊名: WATER
EISSN: 2073-4441
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:8
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; trend detection ; Mann-Kendall test ; Pettitt change-point test ; annual maximum flood
WOS关键词: NEW-SOUTH-WALES ; FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; TREND DETECTION ; UNITED-STATES ; DETECT TREND ; RIVER FLOW ; STREAMFLOW ; EXTREMES ; RAINFALL
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

This study performs a simultaneous evaluation of gradual and abrupt changes in Australian annual maximum (AM) flood data using a modified Mann-Kendall and Pettitt change-point detection test. The results show that AM flood data in eastern Australia is dominated by downward trends. Depending on the significance level and study period under consideration, about 8% to 33% of stations are characterised by significant trends, where over 85% of detected significant trends are downward. Furthermore, the change-point analysis shows that the percentages of stations experiencing one abrupt change in the mean or in the direction of the trend are in the range of 8% to 33%, of which over 50% occurred in 1991, with a mode in 1995. Prominent resemblance between the monotonic trend and change-point analysis results is also noticed, in which a negative shift in the mean is observed at catchments that exhibited downward trends, and a positive shift in the mean is observed in the case of upward trends. Trend analysis of the segmented AM flood series based on their corresponding date indicates an absence of a significant trend, which may be attributed to the false detection of trends when the AM flood data are characterised by a shift in its mean.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144406
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Penrith City Council, Penrith, NSW 2750, Australia
2.Western Sydney Univ, Sch Comp Engn & Math, Kingswood, NSW 2750, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Ishak, Elias,Rahman, Ataur. Examination of Changes in Flood Data in Australia[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(8)
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