globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5199842
论文题名:
1971-2012年青藏高原及周边地区气温变化特征及其海拔敏感性分析
其他题名: Temperature Change and Its Elevation Dependency on the Tibetan Plateau and Its Vicinity from 1971 to 2012
作者: 丁明军1; 李兰晖1; 张镱锂2; 刘林山2; 王兆锋2
刊名: 资源科学
ISSN: 1007-7588
出版年: 2014
卷: 36, 期:7, 页码:1272-1280
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 青藏高原 ; 气温变化 ; 海拔敏感性 ; M-K分析
英文关键词: Tibetan Plateau ; temperature change ; elevation dependency ; M-K analysis
WOS学科分类: MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
中文摘要: 海拔敏感性是当前全球气候变化研究的热点之一,青藏高原作为世界屋脊,探讨该区域气候变暖与海拔的关系对全球气候变化研究具有重要的参考意义。本文基于1971-2012年青藏高原及周边地区123个气象站的月平均气温数据,采用Mann-Kendall(M-K)趋势分析和突变检验、滑动t检验等方法分析了该地区气温变化的时空分布及其与海拔的关系。结果表明:①1971-2012年研究区年、四季、最热月和最冷月均温均呈现显著上升趋势,但增温幅度空间差异明显,具体表现为中、东部和东北部高,东南部低的态势;②除春季外,研究区增温幅度总体呈现随海拔上升而增加的趋势,且该趋势在青藏高原主体范围内尤为明显,但在不同海拔梯度内存在显著差异,其中海拔2 000~3 000m内增温对海拔的敏感性最强,海拔3 000~4 000m次之,而在海拔4 000m以上区域,增温幅度随海拔增加呈现下降趋势;③年均温的突变年份与海拔存在明显的线性关系,具体表现为:海拔每升高1 000m,突变年份推迟1.1~1.2年(p=0.001);④青藏高原年均温变化趋势及其海拔敏感性对研究时段起、止年份的选取较为敏感。
英文摘要: Elevation dependency is a focus of global climate change research. The Tibetan Plateau is often called the roof of the world and analyzing the relationship between climate warming and altitudinal variation for this Plateau is of great significance to global climate change research. Based on monthly mean temperature from 123 national meteorological stations across the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding areas from 1971 to 2012,spatio-temporal characteristics of temperature change and elevation dependency were examined using Mann-Kendall(M-K)tests and moving t-tests. We found that annual,seasonal,coldest month and hottest month mean temperatures,for most stations,displayed an increasing tendency. However,the increasing ranges show a very different spatial pattern with strong warming distributed in central,eastern and northeastern regions of the plateau and weak warming in the southeast. Temperature trend coefficients,except for spring,follow an increasing tendency with increasing elevation,especially on the Tibetan Plateau; however,these displayed different patterns at different elevation gradients. In the zone between 2 000~3 000m,the trend coefficients were more sensitive to altitude than for 3 000~4 000m;the trend coefficients above 4000 m displayed a slight decrease with elevation rise. We found a linear relationship between the timing of annual mean temperature abrupt changes and elevation whereby the time of abrupt change was delayed 1.1~1.2 a per 1km increase in elevation. Lastly,trend coefficients for temperature and elevation dependency across the Tibetan Plateau are sensitive to beginning and end dates.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148892
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.江西师范大学, 鄱阳湖湿地与流域研究教育部重点实验室, 南昌, 江西 330022, 中国
2.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101, 中国

Recommended Citation:
丁明军,李兰晖,张镱锂,等. 1971-2012年青藏高原及周边地区气温变化特征及其海拔敏感性分析[J]. 资源科学,2014-01-01,36(7):1272-1280
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