globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6387288
论文题名:
全球变暖下热带降水变化研究回顾与挑战
其他题名: Advances and Challenges in the Study on the Tropical Rainfall Changes Under Global Warming
作者: 黄平1; 周士杰2
刊名: 地球科学进展
ISSN: 1001-8166
出版年: 2018
卷: 33, 期:11, 页码:535-545
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 热带降水 ; 全球变暖 ; 气候变化预估 ; 水汽收支 ; 模式比较
英文关键词: Tropical rainfall ; Global warming ; Climate change projection ; Moisture budget ; Model comparison
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 热带降水是全球能量水份循环的重要环节。热带降水在全球变暖下的变化是目前国际上广泛关注的气候变化问题之一。回顾了近30年来关于热带降水在观测中的变化以及基于气候模式预估未来变化方面的研究进展;总结了目前在热带区域降水变化机制方面的国际前沿研究进展及研究方法;最后讨论了目前气候模式预估未来区域降水变化所遇到的模式间差异大等影响预估可信度的问题,展望未来研究中面临的主要挑战。
英文摘要: Since tropical rainfall is important in the global energy and hydrologic cycle,the tropical rainfall changes under global warming have attracted extensive attention around the world in recent decades. The advances in the observational studies and model projection for the tropical rainfall changes under global warming were reviewed here. The frontiers in the mechanism of regional tropical rainfall changes and the approaches of rainfall change research are summarized. The large intermodel spread in the multi-model projections,the sources of uncertainty and the methods to reduce the uncertainty were also introduced. Finally,the challenges about the tropical rainfall changes were discussed.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/153946
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中国科学院大气物理研究所,季风系统研究中心
2.中国科学院大气物理研究所
3.全球变化与可持续发展协同创新中心,
4.大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室
5.全球变化与可持续发展协同创新中心,
6., 北京
7.北京
8.北京 100190
9.100029
10.100875, 中国
11.中国科学院大气物理研究所
12.中国科学院大学, 大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室
13.,
14., 北京
15.北京 100029
16.100049, 中国

Recommended Citation:
黄平,周士杰. 全球变暖下热带降水变化研究回顾与挑战[J]. 地球科学进展,2018-01-01,33(11):535-545
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