globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6198138
论文题名:
基于2002-2012年气象数据的中国小麦条锈病菌越夏区划
其他题名: Oversummering regionalization of Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici based on the meteorological data in China from 2002 to 2012
作者: 王晓晶1; 马占鸿1; 姜玉英2; 刘万才2; 曾娟2; 王海光1
刊名: 植物保护学报
ISSN: 0577-7518
出版年: 2018
卷: 45, 期:1, 页码:7377-7386
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 小麦条锈病 ; 气候变化 ; 越夏 ; 气候区划 ; 地理信息系统
英文关键词: wheat stripe rust ; climate change ; oversummering ; climatic regionalization ; GIS
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 为了解气候变暖对我国小麦条锈病菌越夏的影响,本研究基于2002-2012年间691个气象站点7、8月份连续最热10 d均温低于越夏临界温度22℃或23℃的年概率,比较了ArcGIS中反距离权重法、局部多项式插值法、径向基函数法和普通克里格法4种插值方法对我国小麦条锈病菌越夏区划的影响,采用指数模型和球状模型下普通克里格插值法进行了条锈病菌越夏区划;以2002-2012年间7、8月份连续最热10 d的平均温度均值作为区划指标,利用ArcGIS的指数模型和球状模型下普通克里格法进行了高程插值。结果表明,2002-2012年每年的7、8月份连续最热10 d均温低于越夏临界温度的年概率在20%以上的地区可以认为是我国小麦条锈病菌的越夏区,年概率在5%~20%的区域可以视为越夏过渡区,年概率在5%以下的地区可以视为不太适合小麦条锈病菌越夏的区域。表明小麦条锈病菌越夏区仍主要集中于我国西北、川西北地区,但越夏范围有一定缩减。
英文摘要: To explore the effects of climate changes on oversummering of Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici (Pst), the climate-based classification for oversummering regions of Pst in China was conducted on the ArcGIS platform based on the probability that the average temperature in the warmest continuous ten days in July and August from 2002 to 2012 was less than the critical temperature (22℃ or 23℃) in 691 meteorological stations. The exponential model and the spherical model of ordinary Kriging were selected from four different interpolation methods including inverse distance weighting, local polynomial interpolation, radial basis functions and ordinary Kriging, which were used for climatic regionalization. The climatic regionalization was also conducted using ordinary Kriging (both exponential model and spherical model) with the elevation model on the ArcGIS platform. Basen on the probabilities, the areas with a probability higher than 20% were regarded as suitable zones for Pst oversummering in China;the areas with a probability between 5% and 20% were regarded as transitional zones for Pst oversummering, and the areas with a probability lower than 5% were regrarded as not being quite suitable for Pst oversummering. Oversummering areas of wheat stripe rust were mainly concentrated in northwestern China and northwestern Sichuan. However, the range of oversummering areas decreased to some degree.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155173
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.中国农业大学植物病理学系, 北京 100193, 中国
2.全国农业技术推广服务中心, 北京 100026, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王晓晶,马占鸿,姜玉英,等. 基于2002-2012年气象数据的中国小麦条锈病菌越夏区划[J]. 植物保护学报,2018-01-01,45(1):7377-7386
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[王晓晶]'s Articles
[马占鸿]'s Articles
[姜玉英]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[王晓晶]'s Articles
[马占鸿]'s Articles
[姜玉英]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[王晓晶]‘s Articles
[马占鸿]‘s Articles
[姜玉英]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.