globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6522942
论文题名:
疏勒河流域极端水文事件对极端气候的响应
其他题名: Response of Extreme Hydrological Events to Extreme Climate in the Shule River Basin
作者: 程玉菲1; 程文举2; 胡想全1; 金彦兆1
刊名: 高原气象
ISSN: 1000-0534
出版年: 2019
卷: 38, 期:3, 页码:583-592
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 疏勒河流域 ; 极端水文事件 ; 极端气候指数 ; 洪水
英文关键词: Shule River Basin ; extreme hydrological events ; extreme climate indices ; flood
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 为了明确疏勒河流域极端水文事件对极端气候事件的响应关系,选取疏勒河流域内及其周边的托勒、敦煌、瓜州、玉门、酒泉、马鬃山等气象站点的气温、降水和蒸发的日值数据,昌马堡水文站的日径流数据,通过趋势分析、滑动平均、主成分分析等方法,分析疏勒河流域极端气候指数、极端水文事件的年际变化规律以及影响极端水文事件的因素,并明确该流域极端洪水年内分布特征。结果表明:疏勒河流域年际气温升高趋势明显,降水量呈波动变化,增加趋势不明显,而蒸发量呈下降的变化趋势。表征高温的极端气温指数呈显著上升趋势,表征低温的极端气温指数呈显著下降趋势,说明疏勒河流域气温增幅明显。极端降水指数呈显著的增加趋势。该流域极端洪水事件和频次呈上升趋势,而极端枯水事件和频次呈下降趋势。极端洪水事件主要受控于极端降水事件,特别是极端降水总量,极端高温事件对极端洪水总量的增加也有影响,而极端枯水事件主要受控于极端低温事件。此外,2000-2016年年最大洪峰流量出现的时间有由8月向7月转变的趋势。
英文摘要: In order to clarify the response of extreme hydrological events to extreme weather events in the Shule River Basin,the daily value data of temperature,precipitation and evaporation in the Shule River Basin and its surrounding meteorological stations,such as Tuole,Dunhuang,Guazhou,Yumen,Jiuquan and Mazongshan, are selected,the daily runoff data of the Changmabao Hydrological Station is also selected. Through the methods of trend analysis,moving average and principal component analysis,this study analyzed the extreme climate indices, the interannual variation law of extreme hydrological events and the factors affecting extreme hydrological events in Shule River Basin,and clarified the annual distribution characteristics of extreme floods in the basin. The results show that the interannual temperature rises in the Shule River Basin is obvious,the precipitation fluctuations change,there is no obvious increasing trend,and the evaporation shows a downward trend. The extreme temperature indices indicating high temperature showed a significant upward trend,and the extreme temperature indices indicating low temperature showed a significant downward trend,indicating that the temperature in Shule River Basin increased significantly. The extreme precipitation indices showed an significant increase. The extreme flood events and frequency in this basin showed an upward trend,while the extreme dry events and frequency showed a downward trend. Extreme flood events are mainly controlled by extreme precipitation events,especially the total amount of extreme precipitation. Extreme high temperature events also affect the increase of the total amount of extreme flood,while extreme dry events are mainly controlled by extreme low temperature events. In addition,the occurrence time of the largest peak flow in 2000-2016 has advanced from August to July.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/157926
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.甘肃省水利科学研究院, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国
2.中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院/阿拉善荒漠生态-水文试验研究站
3.中国科学院大学, 中国科学院内陆河流域生态水文重点实验室
4., 兰州
5., 甘肃
6.北京 730000
7.100049, 中国

Recommended Citation:
程玉菲,程文举,胡想全,等. 疏勒河流域极端水文事件对极端气候的响应[J]. 高原气象,2019-01-01,38(3):583-592
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