globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0907765106
论文题名:
Global sea level linked to global temperature
作者: Vermeer M.; Rahmstorf S.
刊名: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2009
卷: 106, 期:51
起始页码: 21527
结束页码: 21532
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate ; Global warming ; Ocean ; Projections
Scopus关键词: article ; climate change ; environmental temperature ; greenhouse effect ; hydrology ; priority journal ; sea level
英文摘要: We propose a simple relationship linking global sea-level variations on time scales of decades to centuries to global mean temperature. This relationship is tested on synthetic data from a global climate model for the past millennium and the next century. When applied to observed data of sea level and temperature for 1880-2000, and taking into account known anthropogenic hydrologic contributions to sea level, the correlation is >0.99, explaining 98% of the variance. For future global temperature scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report, the relationship projects a sea-level rise ranging from 75 to 190 cm for the period 1990-2100.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/162443
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Vermeer, M., Department of Surveying, Helsinki University of Technology, P.O. Box 1200, FI-02150, Espoo, Finland; Rahmstorf, S., Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A62, 14473 Potsdam, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Vermeer M.,Rahmstorf S.. Global sea level linked to global temperature[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2009-01-01,106(51)
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