globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-1305-2019
论文题名:
Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe
作者: Steirou E.; Gerlitz L.; Apel H.; Sun X.; Merz B.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2019
卷: 23, 期:3
起始页码: 1305
结束页码: 1322
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure ; Bayesian frameworks ; European levels ; Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions ; GEV distributions ; Large-scale circulation ; North Atlantic oscillations ; Scandinavia ; Streamflow records ; Stream flow ; atmospheric circulation ; climate effect ; climatology ; discharge ; extreme event ; flood ; North Atlantic Oscillation ; probability density function ; streamflow ; Atlantic Ocean ; Atlantic Ocean (North) ; Scandinavia
英文摘要: The link between streamflow extremes and climatology has been widely studied in recent decades. However, a study investigating the effect of large-scale circulation variations on the distribution of seasonal discharge extremes at the European level is missing. Here we fit a climate-informed generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution to about 600 streamflow records in Europe for each of the standard seasons, i.e., to winter, spring, summer and autumn maxima, and compare it with the classical GEV distribution with parameters invariant in time. The study adopts a Bayesian framework and covers the period 1950 to 2016. Five indices with proven influence on the European climate are examined independently as covariates, namely the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the east Atlantic pattern (EA), the east Atlantic-western Russian pattern (EA/WR), the Scandinavia pattern (SCA) and the polar-Eurasian pattern (POL). © 2019 Author(s).
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/163028
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Steirou, E., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Gerlitz, L., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Apel, H., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Sun, X., Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai, 200241, China, Columbia Water Center, Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, United States; Merz, B., Section Hydrology, GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, 14476, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Steirou E.,Gerlitz L.,Apel H.,et al. Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2019-01-01,23(3)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Steirou E.]'s Articles
[Gerlitz L.]'s Articles
[Apel H.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Steirou E.]'s Articles
[Gerlitz L.]'s Articles
[Apel H.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Steirou E.]‘s Articles
[Gerlitz L.]‘s Articles
[Apel H.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.