DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00339.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84907588695
论文题名: Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones in present and future climate
作者: Cavicchia L. ; Von Storch H. ; Gualdi S.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2014
卷: 27, 期: 19 起始页码: 7493
结束页码: 7501
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Future climate
; Subtropical cyclones
; Tropical cyclone
; Climate change
; climate change
; hurricane
; low pressure system
; tropical cyclone
; Mediterranean Sea
英文摘要: The Mediterranean has been identified as one of the most responsive regions to climate change. It has been conjectured that one of the effects of a warmer climate could be to make the Mediterranean Sea prone to the formation of hurricanes. Already in the present climate regime, however, a few of the numerous low pressure systems that formin the area develop a dynamical evolution similar to the one of tropical cyclones. Even if their spatial extent is generally smaller and the life cycle shorter compared to tropical cyclones, such storms produce severe damage on the highly populated coastal areas surrounding the Mediterranean Sea. This study, based on the analysis of individual realistically simulated storms in homogeneous long-term and high-resolution data from multiple climate change scenarios, shows that the projected effect of climate change on Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones is decreased frequency and a tendency toward a moderate increase of intensity. © 2014 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/51349
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy; Institute for Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy
Recommended Citation:
Cavicchia L.,Von Storch H.,Gualdi S.. Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones in present and future climate[J]. Journal of Climate,2014-01-01,27(19)