globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1758-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84894380954
论文题名:
The absence of memory in the climatic forcing of glaciers
作者: Burke E.E.; Roe G.H.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2014
卷: 42, 期:2017-05-06
起始页码: 1335
结束页码: 1346
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate persistence ; Climate variability ; Glaciers
英文摘要: Glaciers respond to both long-term, persistent climate changes as well as the year-to-year variability that is inherent to a constant climate. Distinguishing between these two causes of length change is important for identifying the true climatic cause of past glacier fluctuations. A key step in addressing this is to determine the relative importance of year-to-year variability in climate relative to more persistent climate fluctuations. We address this question for European climate using several long-term observational records: a century-long, Europe-wide atmospheric gridded dataset; longer-term instrumental measurements of summertime temperature where available (up to 250 years); and seasonal and annual records of glacier mass balance (between 30 and 50 years). After linear detrending of the datasets, we find that throughout Europe persistence in both melt-season temperature and annual accumulation is generally indistinguishable from zero. The main exception is in Southern Europe where a degree of interannual persistence can be identified in summertime temperatures. On the basis of this analysis, we conclude that year-to-year variability dominates the natural climate forcing of glacier fluctuations on timescales up to a few centuries. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
资助项目: NASA, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54284
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作者单位: Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States

Recommended Citation:
Burke E.E.,Roe G.H.. The absence of memory in the climatic forcing of glaciers[J]. Climate Dynamics,2014-01-01,42(2017-05-06)
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