| DOI: | 10.1002/2013GL057731
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| 论文题名: | Improved seasonal forecast using ozone hole variability? |
| 作者: | Son S.-W.; Purich A.; Hendon H.H.; Kim B.-M.; Polvani L.M.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-8346
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| EISSN: | 1944-8077
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| 出版年: | 2013
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| 卷: | 40, 期:23 | | 起始页码: | 6231
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| 结束页码: | 6235
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | ozone hole
; seasonal forecast
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| Scopus关键词: | Antarctic ozone depletion
; Interannual variability
; Ozone hole
; Seasonal forecasts
; Southern Annular Mode
; Stratospheric variability
; Surface air temperatures
; Systematic variation
; Atmospheric pressure
; Climate change
; Forecasting
; Ozone
; air temperature
; annual variation
; climate change
; concentration (composition)
; El Nino-Southern Oscillation
; ozone
; ozone depletion
; precipitation (climatology)
; seasonality
; Southern Hemisphere
; stratosphere
; weather forecasting
; Antarctica
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| 英文摘要: | Southern Hemisphere (SH) climate change has been partly attributed to Antarctic ozone depletion in the literatures. Here we show that the ozone hole has affected not only the long-term climate change but also the interannual variability of SH surface climate. A significant negative correlation is observed between September ozone concentration and the October southern annular mode index, resulting in systematic variations in precipitation and surface air temperature throughout the SH. This time-lagged relationship is comparable to and independent of that associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode, suggesting that SH seasonal forecasts could be improved by considering Antarctic stratospheric variability. Key Points Ozone hole has affected inter-annual variability of SH surface climate Ozone hole-related climate variability is comparable to ENSO Seasonal forecasts could be improved by considering ozone-hole variability ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84888787668&doi=10.1002%2f2013GL057731&partnerID=40&md5=df05706466a60d0629e1b0d58982f547
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/5610
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: | School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Bldg. 501, 1 Gwanak-Ro, Gwanak-Gu, Seoul, South Korea
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Son S.-W.,Purich A.,Hendon H.H.,et al. Improved seasonal forecast using ozone hole variability?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2013-01-01,40(23).
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