DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.01.001
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84924596312
论文题名: Analysis of coastal protection under rising flood risk
作者: Lickley M.J. ; Lin N. ; Jacoby H.D.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2014
卷: 6 起始页码: 18
结束页码: 26
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Coastal infrastructure
; Sea level rise
; Storm surge flood risk
英文摘要: Infrastructure located along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts is exposed to rising risk of flooding from sea level rise, increasing storm surge, and subsidence. In these circumstances coastal management commonly based on 100-year flood maps assuming current climatology is no longer adequate. A dynamic programming cost-benefit analysis is applied to the adaptation decision, illustrated by application to an energy facility in Galveston Bay. Projections of several global climate models provide inputs to estimates of the change in hurricane and storm surge activity as well as the increase in sea level. The projected rise in physical flood risk is combined with estimates of flood damage and protection costs in an analysis of the multi-period nature of adaptation choice. The result is a planning method, using dynamic programming, which is appropriate for investment and abandonment decisions under rising coastal risk. © 2015 The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59075
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, United States
Recommended Citation:
Lickley M.J.,Lin N.,Jacoby H.D.. Analysis of coastal protection under rising flood risk[J]. Climate Risk Management,2014-01-01,6