DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.09.018
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85005893755
论文题名: Future demand for forest-based biomass for energy purposes in Sweden
作者: Börjesson P. ; Hansson J. ; Berndes G.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN: 0378-1127
出版年: 2017
卷: 383 起始页码: 17
结束页码: 26
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Chemical feedstock
; Energy services
; Forest fuels
; Potential demand
; Sweden
Scopus关键词: Biomass
; Cogeneration plants
; Efficiency
; Electric utilities
; Feedstocks
; Forestry
; Fuels
; Industrial plants
; Petrochemicals
; Chemical feedstocks
; Energy services
; Forest fuel
; Potential demand
; Sweden
; Energy efficiency
; biofuel
; biogenic material
; biomass
; biomass power
; combined heat and power
; demand analysis
; electrification
; energy efficiency
; fossil fuel
; future prospect
; petrochemical industry
; plant residue
; power generation
; regulatory approach
; service sector
; sustainability
; Sweden
英文摘要: This paper assesses the potential changes in the demand for forest-based biomass for various energy purposes in Sweden in 2030 and 2050, respectively. The assessment is based on a review of scenarios and predictions of how the Swedish energy system may develop, taking into account techno-economical conditions. It includes potential changes in district heating, electricity production in combined heat and power plants, industrial process energy, and production of biofuel for road transportation. In addition, the potential demand for forest-based feedstock in the chemical and petrochemical sector, replacing current use of fossil feedstock, is analysed. The assessment suggests that Sweden may see an additional demand for forest fuels at about 30 TW h in 2030 and 35–40 TW h in 2050. This can be compared with the current use of biomass for energy in Sweden at 130 TW h per year, and the estimated potential increase of sustainable harvest of logging residues (slash and stumps) at some additional 20 TW h per year, based on current conditions. If also potential demand for forest-based feedstock in the chemical and petrochemical industry is included, another 10–15 and 25–30 TW h of biomass per year may be needed in 2030 and 2050, respectively. The future demand is sensitive to the pace and magnitude of energy efficiency improvements and electrification in the various sectors. If far-reaching energy efficiency improvements and electrification are realised, the total additional demand for biomass as energy and industry feedstock may be about 20 and 30 TW h per year in 2030 and 2050, respectively, thus roughly corresponding to the sustainable harvests of logging residues. If, however, efficiency improvements and electrification are only marginal, then the additional demand for biomass as industry and energy feedstock may reach 70 TW h and 100 TW h per year in 2030 and 2050, respectively. In these cases, the use of logging residues will not suffice and additional biomass would be needed. A combination of regulations and incentives is recommended to accelerate the fuel and feedstock switch, especially in the transportation and industrial sectors, and incentives promoting a substantial improvement in energy efficiency and electrification in all sectors. © 2016 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/64619
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Environmental and Energy Systems Studies, Lund University, PO Box 118, Sweden; Climate and Sustainable Cities, IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, PO Box 21060, Stockholm, Sweden; Physical Resource Theory, Department of Energy and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Göteborg, Sweden
Recommended Citation:
Börjesson P.,Hansson J.,Berndes G.. Future demand for forest-based biomass for energy purposes in Sweden[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2017-01-01,383