globalchange  > 科学计划与规划
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1406843
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85038365199
论文题名:
United States non-cooperation and the Paris agreement
作者: Urpelainen J; , Van de Graaf T
刊名: Climate Policy
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2017
起始页码: 1
结束页码: 13
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate negotiations ; International cooperation ; leadership ; United States
Scopus学科分类: nvironmental Science: General Environmental Science ; Earth and Planetary Sciences: Atmospheric Science
英文摘要: In June 2017, the Trump administration decided to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement, a landmark climate agreement adopted in 2015 by 195 nations. The exit of the US has not just raised concern that the US will miss its domestic emission reduction targets, but also that other parties to the Paris Agreement might backtrack on their initial pledges regarding emission reductions or financial contributions. Here we assess the magnitude of the threat that US non-cooperation poses to the Paris Agreement from an international relations perspective. We argue that US non-cooperation does not fundamentally alter US emissions, which are unlikely to rise even in the absence of new federal climate policies. Nor does it undermine nationally determined contributions under pledge and review, as the Paris Agreement has introduced a new logic of domestically driven climate policies and the cost of low-carbon technologies keeps falling. However, US non-participation in raising climate finance could raise high barriers to global climate cooperation in the future. Political strategies to mitigate these threats include direct engagement by climate leaders such as the European Union with key emerging economies, notably China and India, and domestic climate policies that furnish benefits to traditional opponents of ambitious climate policy.Key policy insightsUS non-cooperation need not be a major threat to pledge and review under the Paris Agreement.US non-cooperation is a serious threat to climate finance.Deeper engagement with emerging economies offers new opportunities for global climate policy. © 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/80226
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作者单位: Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, Washington, DC, USA; Institute for International Studies, Ghent University, Gent, Belgium

Recommended Citation:
Urpelainen J,, Van de Graaf T. United States non-cooperation and the Paris agreement[J]. Climate Policy,2017-01-01
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