DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2184-4
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85044456563
论文题名: Assessing variations of extreme indices inducing weather-hazards on critical infrastructures over Europe—the INTACT framework
作者: Reder A. ; Iturbide M. ; Herrera S. ; Rianna G. ; Mercogliano P. ; Gutiérrez J.M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2018
起始页码: 1
结束页码: 16
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Decision making
; Global warming
; Hazards
; Meteorological problems
; Public works
; Weather information services
; Changing climate
; Climate change scenarios
; European project
; Extreme weather events
; Future climate scenarios
; Future projections
; Weather hazards
; Weighting approaches
; Critical infrastructures
英文摘要: Extreme weather events are projected to be more frequent and severe across the globe because of global warming. This poses challenging problems for critical infrastructures, which could be dramatically affected (or disrupted), and may require adaptation plans to the changing climate conditions. The INTACT FP7-European project evaluated the resilience and vulnerability of critical infrastructures to extreme weather events in a climate change scenario. To identify changes in the hazard induced by climate change, appropriate extreme weather indicators (EWIs), as proxies of the main atmospheric features triggering events with high impact on the infrastructures, were defined for a number of case studies and different approaches were analyzed to obtain local climate projections. We considered the influence of weighting and bias correction schemes on the delta approach followed to obtain the resulting projections, considering data from the Euro-CORDEX ensemble of regional future climate scenarios over Europe. The aim is to provide practitioners, decision-makers, and administrators with appropriate methods to obtain actionable and plausible results on local/regional future climate scenarios. Our results show a small sensitivity to the weighting approach and a large sensitivity to bias correcting the future projections. © 2018 Springer Science+Business Media B.V., part of Springer Nature Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83759
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: CMCC Foundation, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, REMHI division, Capua, Italy; DICEA Dipartimento Ingegneria Civile Edile Ambientale, University Federico II, Naples, Italy; Grupo de Meteorología, IFCA (CSIC-University of Cantabria), Santander, Spain; Grupo de Meteorología, Dpto. de Matemática Aplicada y C.C., Univ. Cantabria, Santander, Spain; CIRA Centro Italiano Ricerche Aerospaziali, Laboratory of Meteorology, Capua, Italy
Recommended Citation:
Reder A.,Iturbide M.,Herrera S.,et al. Assessing variations of extreme indices inducing weather-hazards on critical infrastructures over Europe—the INTACT framework[J]. Climatic Change,2018-01-01