DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1965-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85017407703
论文题名: Vulnerability of Southern Plains agriculture to climate change
作者: Steiner J.L. ; Briske D.D. ; Brown D.P. ; Rottler C.M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2018
卷: 146, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 201
结束页码: 218
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Agriculture
; Aquifers
; Crops
; Decision making
; Decision support systems
; Drought
; Forestry
; Health risks
; Peer to peer networks
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Rain
; Risk management
; Timber
; Adaptation strategies
; Agricultural productions
; Climate vulnerability
; Decision support tools
; Extreme precipitation events
; Increasing temperatures
; Intense precipitation
; Peer-to-peer communications
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; agricultural production
; bottom-up approach
; climate change
; climate effect
; drought
; precipitation (climatology)
; sensitivity analysis
; vulnerability
; warming
; weather
; Ogallala Aquifer
; United States
; Bos
英文摘要: Projections of greater interannual and intrannual climate variability, including increasing temperatures, longer and more intense drought periods, and more extreme precipitation events, present growing challenges for agricultural production in the Southern Plains of the USA. We assess agricultural vulnerabilities within this region to support identification and development of adaptation strategies at regional to local scales, where many management decisions are made. Exposure to the synergistic effects of warming, such as fewer and more intense precipitation events and greater overall weather variability, will uniquely affect rain-fed and irrigated cropping, high-value specialty crops, extensive and intensive livestock production, and forestry. Although the sensitivities of various agricultural sectors to climatic stressors can be difficult to identify at regional scales, we summarize that crops irrigated from the Ogallala aquifer possess a high sensitivity; rangeland beef cattle production a low sensitivity; and rain-fed crops, forestry, and specialty crops intermediate sensitivities. Numerous adaptation strategies have been identified, including drought contingency planning, increased soil health, improved forecasts and associated decision support tools, and implementation of policies and financial instruments for risk management. However, the extent to which these strategies are adopted is variable and influenced by both biophysical and socioeconomic considerations. Inadequate local- and regional-scale climate risk and resilience information suggests that climate vulnerability research and climate adaptation approaches need to include bottom-up approaches such as learning networks and peer-to-peer communication. © 2017, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83842
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: US Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Grazinglands Research Laboratory, 7207 W. Cheyenne Street, El Reno, OK, United States; Department of Ecosystem Science and Management, Texas A&M University, Centeq Building, Room 130C, MS 2120 TAMU, College Station, TX, United States
Recommended Citation:
Steiner J.L.,Briske D.D.,Brown D.P.,et al. Vulnerability of Southern Plains agriculture to climate change[J]. Climatic Change,2018-01-01,146(2018-01-02)