globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1695-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84971664071
论文题名:
500-yr. precipitation variability in Southern Taihang Mountains, China, and its linkages to ENSO and PDO
作者: Zhang Y.; Tian Q.; Guillet S.; Stoffel M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 144, 期:3
起始页码: 419
结束页码: 432
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure ; Drought ; Forestry ; Precipitation (meteorology) ; Trees (mathematics) ; Wavelet analysis ; Confidence levels ; Correlation analysis ; Pacific decadal oscillation ; Precipitation data ; Precipitation variability ; Predictor variables ; Southern oscillation ; Tree-ring-width indices ; Climatology ; climate variation ; coniferous tree ; correlation ; drought ; El Nino-Southern Oscillation ; Pacific Decadal Oscillation ; paleoclimate ; precipitation (climatology) ; reconstruction ; spatiotemporal analysis ; tree ring ; wavelet analysis ; China ; Taihang Mountains ; Pinus albicaulis ; Pinus bungeana
英文摘要: An annually resolved and absolutely dated ring-width chronology spanning 657 yrs. is constructed with Whitebark pine (Pinus bungeana Zucc.) samples from the southern Taihang Mountains, Eastern China. On the basis of a significant correlation between the tree-ring width index and observed instrumental data, precipitation in current May is reconstructed for the region since AD 1510, with predictor variables accounting for 37.9 % of the variance in precipitation data. In agreement with other drought reconstructions, notable dry spells occur in the 1630s–1650s, 1680s–1700s, and 1770s–1800s, whereas wet periods prevail in the 1530s–1570s, 1840s–1870s, and 1950s-present. Wavelet analysis reveals clear 2–8, 20–40, and 80–130 yrs cycles at the 95 % confidence level for the reconstructed series over the past 500 yrs, suggesting possible linkages with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Correlation analysis between the tree-ring series, ENSO, and PDO index further demonstrates that precipitation is negatively correlated with PDO and ENSO in the long term. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/83894
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Center for Excellence and Innovation in Tibetan Plateau Earth System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; Dendrolab.ch, Institute of Geological Sciences, University of Berne, Baltzerstrasse 1+3, Berne, Switzerland; Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Boulevard Carl Vogt 66, Geneva, Switzerland; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, Rue des Maraîchers 13, Geneva, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Zhang Y.,Tian Q.,Guillet S.,et al. 500-yr. precipitation variability in Southern Taihang Mountains, China, and its linkages to ENSO and PDO[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,144(3)
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