globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1917-0
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85013742804
论文题名:
Potential distribution of the invasive loblolly pine mealybug, Oracella acuta (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae), in Asia under future climate change scenarios
作者: Chen Y.; Vasseur L.; You M.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2017
卷: 141, 期:4
起始页码: 719
结束页码: 732
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate models ; Forestry ; Physiological models ; Population distribution ; Drought stress ; Future climate ; Future climate scenarios ; Global climate model ; Management strategies ; Potential distributions ; Pseudococcidae ; Species distributions ; Climate change ; climate change ; climate effect ; climate modeling ; coniferous tree ; drought stress ; future prospect ; geographical distribution ; invasive species ; pest control ; pest species ; range expansion ; tolerance ; Asia ; Hemiptera ; Hexapoda ; Pinus taeda ; Pseudococcidae
英文摘要: Oracella acuta is a significant invasive insect pest in China, which has already caused severe damage to host pines. It is expected that this pest may invade other regions of Asia. This research explores the projected effects of climate change on the future distribution of O. acuta in Asia. To anticipate threats and prioritize management strategies to control O. acuta, we examined the potential distribution of O. acuta under current and future climate scenarios based on CLIMEX models. These models were calibrated using the physiological tolerance thresholds for this species, and A1B and A2 scenarios for 2030 and 2070 under a CSIRO-Mk 3.0 Global Climate Model were used to predict future distribution. The results suggest that O. acuta has the ability to establish in most countries of Southern Asia, such as China, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Philippines, Sri Lanka, and India. Both scenarios showed that the species is predicted to expand its range northwards but retract in the southern edge. The A1B scenario projected a wider spread of O. acuta than the A2 scenario. Despite the uncertainties inherent to climate models and that it was not possible to integrate all parameters into the model and some assumptions had to be made, our results indicate that heat and drought stress may have significant impacts on the species distribution, especially in southern regions of Asia in the future. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84050
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: State Key Laboratory of Ecological Pest Control for Fujian and Taiwan Crops, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, China; Institute of Applied Ecology, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, China; Fujian-Taiwan Joint Centre for Ecological Control of Crop Pests, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, China; Key Laboratory of Integrated Pest Management for Fujian-Taiwan Crops, Ministry of Agriculture, Fuzhou, China; Department of Biological Sciences, Brock University, 1812 Sir Isaac Brock Way, St. Catharines, ON, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Chen Y.,Vasseur L.,You M.. Potential distribution of the invasive loblolly pine mealybug, Oracella acuta (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae), in Asia under future climate change scenarios[J]. Climatic Change,2017-01-01,141(4)
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