DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1623-3
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84975702598
论文题名: Landslides and synoptic weather trends in the European Alps
作者: Wood J.L. ; Harrison S. ; Turkington T.A.R. ; Reinhardt L.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2016
卷: 136, 期: 2 起始页码: 297
结束页码: 308
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Alpine regions
; European Alps
; External factors
; Landslide frequency
; Landslide inventories
; Permutation tests
; Seasonal differences
; Weather types
; Landslides
; alpine environment
; climate change
; future prospect
; inventory
; landslide
; Monte Carlo analysis
; regional climate
; seasonality
; spatial distribution
; synoptic meteorology
; trend analysis
; weather
; Alps
英文摘要: Landslides present a substantial geomorphological hazard in Alpine regions and there are expectations that climate change will alter their frequency and magnitude in the future. Understanding the spatial distribution and timing of landslides in the context of past change is therefore necessary if we are to assess their future behaviour. Using a regional landslide inventory for the European Alps we analyse the influence of weather types, specifically the COST733 database, on landslides. Monte Carlo permutation tests are used to assess which weather types are most likely associated with landslides. Weather types with high precipitation are consistent with more landslides, although there are also seasonal differences. Over the duration of the COST733 catalogue there has been a significant decrease in the number of days with weather types associated with low frequencies of landslides. During the spring and autumn months, the trend in observed landslide frequency and weather types are well matched. However while there is potential for weather typing to be used as a proxy for future landslide frequency, other external factors must be carefully considered. © 2016, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84326
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Wood J.L.,Harrison S.,Turkington T.A.R.,et al. Landslides and synoptic weather trends in the European Alps[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,136(2)