| DOI: | 10.1007/s10584-015-1592-y
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84961193309
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| 论文题名: | Country-specific effects of climate variability on human migration |
| 作者: | Gray C.; Wise E.
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| 刊名: | Climatic Change
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| ISSN: | 0165-0009
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| EISSN: | 1573-1480
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 135, 期:2018-03-04 | | 起始页码: | 555
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| 结束页码: | 568
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| 语种: | 英语
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| Scopus关键词: | Climate models
; Climatology
; Regional planning
; Specifications
; Climate variability
; Global climate changes
; High resolution
; Human migration
; Model specifications
; Social outcomes
; Specific effects
; Temperature anomaly
; Climate change
; climate change
; demography
; global climate
; international migration
; population modeling
; satellite data
; socioeconomic survey
; spatiotemporal analysis
; temperature effect
; Burkina Faso
; Kenya
; Nigeria
; Senegal
; Uganda
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| 英文摘要: | Involuntary human migration is among the social outcomes of greatest concern in the current era of global climate change. Responding to this concern, a growing number of studies have investigated the consequences of short to medium-term climate variability for human migration using demographic and econometric approaches. These studies have provided important insights, but at the same time have been significantly limited by lack of expertise in the use of climate data, access to cross-national data on migration, and attention to model specification. To address these limitations, we link data on internal and international migration over a 6-year period from 9812 origin households in Kenya, Uganda, Nigeria, Burkina Faso and Senegal to high-resolution gridded climate data from both station and satellite sources. Analyses of these data using several plausible specifications reveal that climate variability has country-specific effects on migration: Migration tends to increase with temperature anomalies in Uganda, tends to decrease with temperature anomalies in Kenya and Burkina Faso, and shows no consistent relationship with temperature in Nigeria and Senegal. Consistent with previous studies, precipitation shows weak and inconsistent relationships with migration across countries. These results challenge generalizing narratives that foresee a consistent migratory response to climate change across the globe. © 2016, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84342
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: | Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Carolina Hall, Campus Box 3220, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Gray C.,Wise E.. Country-specific effects of climate variability on human migration[J]. Climatic Change,2016-01-01,135(2018-03-04)
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