globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1076-5
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84902276427
论文题名:
Accounting for uncertainties and time preference in economic analysis of tackling climate change through forestry and selected policy implications for Scotland and Ukraine
作者: Nijnik M.; Pajot G.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2014
卷: 124, 期:3
起始页码: 677
结束页码: 690
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Cost benefit analysis ; Decision making ; Numerical methods ; Public policy ; Reforestation ; Timber ; Carbon sequestration ; Climate change mitigation ; Climatic changes ; Decision making process ; Discount rates ; Intergenerational equity ; Policy implications ; Time preferences ; Economic analysis ; carbon sequestration ; climate change ; cost-benefit analysis ; decision making ; environmental economics ; forestry ; mathematical analysis ; uncertainty analysis ; Scotland ; Ukraine ; United Kingdom
英文摘要: The paper discusses the development of economic techniques for dealing with uncertainties in economic analysis of planting trees to mitigate climatic change. In consideration of uncertainty, time preference and intergenerational equity, the traditional cost-benefit analysis framework is challenged with regard to the discounting/non-discounting of carbon uptake benefits, and because it usually uses a constant and positive discount rate. We investigate the influence of various discounting protocols on the outputs of economic analysis. The idea of using the declining discount rate is also considered. Several numerical examples dealing with the analysis of afforestation for carbon sequestration in Scotland and Ukraine are provided. We show that the choice of discounting protocols have a considerable influence on the results of economic analysis, and therefore, on the decision-making processes related to climate change mitigation strategies. The paper concludes with some innovative insights on accounting for uncertainties and time preference in tackling climate change through forestry, several climate policy implications of dealing with uncertainties, and a brief discussion of what the use of different discounting protocols might imply for decision making. © 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84868
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: The James Hutton Institute, Aberdeen, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Nijnik M.,Pajot G.. Accounting for uncertainties and time preference in economic analysis of tackling climate change through forestry and selected policy implications for Scotland and Ukraine[J]. Climatic Change,2014-01-01,124(3)
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